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Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression (Wiley Trading)
Ebook Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression (Wiley Trading)
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From the Inside Flap
If you did not read Robert Prechter's At the Crest of the Tidal Wave (1995), you might have become the victim of any one of a dozen financial debacles. You might have held junk bonds, which have been collapsing ever since. You might have invested in commodities, which have fallen to new lows. You might have slaved over a demanding job that paid you in stock options that are now worthless. You might have speculated in Internet stocks, which went bust. If you are a vendor, you might have sold equipment to dot-com companies for I.O.U.s that were never paid. If you live in Argentina, you might have kept your money in a local bank and one day awakened broke. If you worked for Enron, you might have watched every nickel of your retirement savings evaporate. If you own a business, you might have let economists convince you that no recession was possible just before the economy contracted and slammed you up against the wall. Maybe for you, it's too late. But for most people, this book is timely. It is being published at another peak in social optimism, with the stock market rallying, the Dow back above 10,000, economists unanimously bullish and commentators assuring us that the recession is over. If you think that all is well and your finances are safe, read this book before it's too late for you.
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From the Back Cover
"A must-read book." --Martin D. Weiss PhD, author of the best-selling Ultimate Safe Money Guide * Will deflation and depression really happen? * What causes deflation and depression? * Can the Fed prevent deflation? Where can you find the few exceptionally sound banks, insurers, gold dealers and other essential service providers that can help you protect your wealth? How should you arrange your finances and your life in order to survive the depression, prosper while it's happening, and take advantage of the unprecedented opportunity coming at the next major bottom? Not one in ten thousand investors will think to ask these questions, even as their financial institutions may be lurching toward insolvency. You will find the answers in this book "This book outlines brilliantly and simply the rationale for how and why the bubble developed. Prechter will go down in history as a legend for having predicted the secular bull market and now having provided a lucid description of the economic cataclysm that unfortunately lies ahead. I urge you to read this book and give it to your loved ones. It provides great tactical advice on how to prepare yourself financially. Reading this book could make the difference between agony and comfort over the next 20 years." --David Tice, President, Prudent Bear Funds
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Product details
Series: Wiley Trading
Hardcover: 278 pages
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons; 1 edition (June 28, 2002)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0470849827
ISBN-13: 978-0470849828
Product Dimensions:
6.3 x 1 x 9.6 inches
Shipping Weight: 1.4 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.9 out of 5 stars
136 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#3,822,744 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
Like always, Precter's timing has been TERRIBLE! He told people to get out of the market in 2002 in the first edition of this book, just when it hit bottom!!! And kept them out for 40% upside!!Then when the market collapsed in 2008 and early 2009, Precher did NOT release any books that warned about that!!!! This man is a fraud. He will always be warning about a collapse. If you listen to him you are a fool.According to Mike Stathis.."When the Dow bottomed at 6400 in March 2009, most of these so-called experts (like Prechter) were telling investors that the stock market was headed much further down, and to stay out. With each passing month since then, they have either cautioned investors to stay out of the stock market, or else to short it. Some even told investors to take 200% leverage and short the stock market by (at least) late 2009!" [...]Prechter has been telling his sheep to short the market using 200% leverage since November! The margin costs alone for such a long short are huge. The market losses have been bigger!The only book worth reading before and after the collapse is America's Financial Apocalypse: How to Profit from the Next Great Depression written in 2006 by Mike Stathis.Unfortunately, most people still don't know about Stathis or his book (which predicted Dow Jones 6000, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would be bailed out by tax payers, real estate would fall by 35% and much more) because the author (who is an investment strategist and Wall Street professional) has been ignored and banned by the media.Check Stathis' website [...] and get your hands on everything this man writes because, as a very experienced investment professional I can tell you that he is the only man out there who knows what is going on and is willing to share it with you. And he doesn't sell stocks or gold so you know he doesn't have any bias.All of the others are frauds and morons looking to make a quick buck selling you fear, greed and terrible advice. Here is a short list of guys who many have been led to believe know what's going on. But once you check what they have said you will either see no beef and/or wrong predictions and terrible advice.Martin D. Weiss, Robert B. Reich, Peter D. Schiff, Vox Day, Robert Prechter, John A. Rubino, Dick Morris, Robert Shiller, James Turk, the list is too long to complete.The few that made predictions before the collapse didn't offer any specific advice other than to promote their gold sales. Guys like Schiff said to invest in the Euro! and China would be safe!
Elliott Waves...are you serious? If you believe technical analysis, then you might enjoy this book. But I think Warren Buffett said it best..."I realized technical analysis didn't work when I turned the charts upside down and didn't get a different answer" and "If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians."The reality of inflation or deflation will be played out - my bet is on inflation - but make your own choice. If you are convinced deflation is coming, then definitely, hoard cash so you can buy assets cheaper tomorrow. Of course you forgo the pleasure of the assets you could have purchased, and the income from investments you could have made.
The book may be interesting if you haven't read this sort of thing before, but this type of book can be summed up thus: 1.Paper assets (stocks/bonds) and tangibles (precious metals and other commodities) go up in down in opposing cycles, and no matter how much you point this out, almost no one believes the present cycle will reverse. 2.The present cycle (paper assets) has begin its reverse. Stocks/bonds have begun to tank, and tangibles have begun to climb. 3.Anyone who holds on to their paper assets will suffer terrible losses, and anyone who buys gold/silver/platinum with both hands will get rich. It is still early enough in the game such that the mainstream view is that this sort of talk is nonsense. 3.The prudent way to buy metals is to buy all three metals in bullion form plus a mutual fund that consists of non-hedged gold/silver mining stocks. 4.Don't employ margin; there will be fierce mini-bears during the metals bull market. 5.Don't trade (trying to time the ups and downs). Buy now, while metals are still a contrarian move, and don't sell until the public is as enthusiastic about metals as they were about paper three years ago. Selling too soon is s classic error, as is continuing to hold on after Time and Newsweek are covering the raging metals bull market (probably in the middle-to-late part of this decade) as cover stories. 6.Don't bother discussing this all with anyone; they won't listen now, and will climb aboard late in the bull after the easy money has already been made and will use margin and get wiped out and blame you. 7.At the peak of the metals bull, people will be piling in and ignoring (what will have become by then) knock-down bargains like General Electric and Disney and 3M. --The only thing I would add to these gloom-and-doom books is when you take your amazing precious metal profits a few years from now, better diversify internationally. Don't assume the U.S. will be the top dog thirty or forty years from now. More likely, Spanish will be the primary language here, taxes will be sky-high, and the Orient will be where the next stock market killing will be made (low taxes, low regulation, teeming masses of smart, hard-working people). Have fun and be careful, spread yourself around so you don't have all your eggs in one basket.
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